Mark Bertolini on Preventive Disruption

Excellent interview on a powerful vision for the reinvention of health insurance

http://www.strategy-business.com/article/00324?pg=all

Mark Bertolini’s Preventive Disruption

For Aetna’s CEO, the lauded move to raise employee wages is just part of a broader strategy to adapt to changes in healthcare.

Since January 12, 2015, Aetna chairman and CEO Mark Bertolini has been applauded by the likes of the New Yorker and the Wall Street Journal as an uncommonly forward-thinking and compassionate chief executive — or perhaps just a quixotic one. On that day, he announced a raise in Aetna’s minimum wage to US$16 per hour. For the 5,700 employees who stood to benefit, this meant an average pay increase of 11 percent; some saw an increase of 33 percent. It was arguably the most visible wage hike by a chief executive since 1914, when Henry Ford doubled his assembly line workers’ pay to $5 a day.

The Aetna pay hike was a multifaceted and strategic move — and one that stemmed from personal motivations as well. It also showed Bertolini to be a culturally astute leader with a real stake in improving the well-being of people who rely on Aetna, be they customers, employees, or long-term shareholders. He is also keenly aware of the changing nature of the healthcare industry in the U.S. and elsewhere. Even without the 2010 Affordable Care Act, health insurance companies would have been forced to revise their business models. Consumers have far more choices now than they had even a few years ago, and they approach them in a more conscious, more participative way.

Aetna, which as of 2014 was the third-largest health insurance company in the United States (after UnitedHealth and WellPoint), has been shifting its strategic focus, and its cultural orientation, for several decades. It has evolved from its role as a primarily financially oriented payor to a role as a healthcare solutions provider, helping medical organizations, insurance carriers, and consumers operate in harmony at lower cost. This has resulted in significant changes in the company’s prevalent attitudes and behaviors, with more change to come.

Bertolini is the third Aetna chief executive in a row who has moved the company in this direction. The first was Jack Rowe, chairman and CEO from 2000 through 2006, who turned Aetna around from a declining bureaucracy (with a hidebound culture known to employees as “Mother Aetna”) to a profitable enterprise. Rowe’s successor, Ron Williams, CEO and chairman from 2006 to 2010, restructured the company and paved the way for its return to growth at a time of dramatic industry change. Bertolini, a 58-year-old Detroit native who holds an MBA from Cornell University, joined Aetna as head of specialty products in 2003, and became president in 2007. In this post and as CEO, he has overseen Aetna’s business response to the Affordable Care Act, which helped attune him to Aetna’s complex cultural legacy as well as its potential for change.

Interestingly, the wage raise stemmed directly from Bertolini’s efforts to engage the Aetna company culture, through social media and personal interactions. It was also driven by a wish to be considered among the ethical leaders of American companies. Bertolini “explicitly linked the decision to the broader debate about inequality,” wroteNew Yorker columnist James Surowiecki. “He said that it was not ‘fair’ for employees of a [Fortune 100] company to be struggling to make ends meet.” Even Mother Aetna found it hard to undermine the emotional appeal of this rationale.

Bertolini is known for his no-nonsense, energetic style; his ability to mix formal and informal leadership; his advocacy of preventive medicine (after using yoga to recover from a debilitating ski accident in 2004, he introduced it to Aetna employees and ultimately to customers); and his penchant for speaking candidly and off the cuff. In this interview, conducted in two sessions in his Hartford, Conn., offices — the first in August 2014 and the second in January 2015, just after the wage announcement — he spells out the reasons for the pay and benefits change, the reaction it evoked in the company’s culture, and the connection to Aetna’s audacious strategic goal of becoming one of the few payor companies with a profitable and influential leadership position in the emerging healthcare industry.

S+B: How did you come to the wage hike decision?
BERTOLINI:
When I took this job as CEO, I had three objectives. One was to set Aetna on a course for the next 160 years. Our purpose should be to become a consumer company. The second was to make healthcare reform actually work. The third was to reestablish the credibility of corporate leadership in the eyes of the American public.

S+B: Not just for Aetna, but for every company?
BERTOLINI:
Yes. But at Aetna, this meant having a style of leadership that was approachable, real, and tangible. One of my goals was cultural impact. I told the PR team, “You cannot protect me; you must prepare me. So get ready. I’m going to go out there and speak truthfully, and talk about how to move forward.” That approach has served me well.

“I told the PR team, “You cannot protect me; you must prepare me.”

I became active on social media. We have an internal network called Aetna Connect, and I’m constantly talking to the employees on it. They also talk to each other. More and more often, I saw people online saying, “I can’t afford my benefits. My healthcare coverage is too expensive.”

I heard the same thing in site visits. When I visit an Aetna office, after the town meeting where I speak, I try to go to every cubicle in the building and shake everybody’s hand. I ask them what they’re up to and how they feel about it here. The same message came through.

At the same time, I could see that the economic recovery was unequal. People were suffering, but capital was cheap and corporations were hoarding cash and not investing. Business leaders were saying, “When the government gets its act together, we’ll move forward [with helping low-income wage earners].”

Then Thomas Piketty’s Capital in the Twenty-First Century [Belknap Press, 2014] came out. I know a number of well-known economists, and they all leaned the same way. There is pressure to fix this [income inequality] problem through the law of the land. That was a scary prospect: massive wealth redistribution through the federal government. We needed to prevent that.

Another influence was Clayton Christensen. He and I have been working together since 2011. Clay’s basic idea is that companies should husband scarce resources and put plentiful resources at risk. In our current environment, the scarcest resource is talent: human capital, not financial capital. Companies have cash sitting on balance sheets around the world. It makes more sense to spend the money on people than on acquisitions.

S+B: What did the business leaders within Aetna think?
BERTOLINI:
They were also starting to agitate about the income inequality problem. Some of them were worried about turnover, and being able to keep people motivated on the front line. After we had looked at a number of options to help our lowest-paid employees, I finally said, “How about we just pay them more?”

[Aetna chief of staff] Steve Kelmar is my sounding board. When he said the organization was ready to make this kind of change, we got a team together. First, we needed more data. I asked the HR team to build a profile: How much did the lowest-paid people at Aetna make? What did their healthcare coverage look like? What were their out-of-pocket costs? How hard was it for them to get by?

It took months to get this information. The organization really wasn’t ready to talk about it, but I kept pushing. Ultimately, we determined that a raise to $16 per hour would cost us $10.5 million per year. So I asked for data on the business impact. Our accepted figure for turnover costs was $27 million per year, but that was only voluntary turnover. I asked for total turnover costs. How many people leave involuntarily? How much does it cost to hire their replacements? How long does it take to train the new recruits? We looked at absenteeism, rework, productivity, dissatisfied employees, and our net promoter scores [a measure of survey respondents’ enthusiasm] in recruiting new employees. Incidentally, our industry’s general net promoter scores are below those of airlines and cable TV companies.

We figured out that our total turnover costs were $120 million per year. By that measure, $10.5 million looked like a low-risk investment. We [had] also recently hired a new head of human resources to partner with me on doing the right thing.

S+B: How many employees were affected by this policy?
BERTOLINI:
About 5,700 employees got wage increases to $16 per hour. Most of them were call center employees; some were single mothers or fathers, and others had children on Medicaid because they couldn’t afford our dependent coverage.

It wasn’t enough to just increase their wages; we also had to do something about their medical benefits. I talked to economists at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, where I’m on the board, and they pointed out that wage increases can affect benefits negatively [by reducing subsidies]. So we reduced the cost sharing on their benefits. This gave many of them our richest benefit plan at the price of our least rich plan — a zero premium cost for many of our frontline employees. Our objective was to raise the personal disposable income [PDI, or income after taxes, benefits, and other withholdings] of this population as high as we could without breaking the bank.

S+B: This wasn’t a cascading measure where you’d also raise other wages through the company.
BERTOLINI:
There was a huge gap between the people making $13 to $14 per hour and the rest of the company. People at the next higher salary level didn’t have the same issues.

When we made the change, some people saw a 33 percent increase in wages and a 45 percent increase in PDI. We also added another element to our social compact by offering certain employees enhanced medical benefits based on household income and their commitment to engage in certain wellness programs.

A Proud Moment

S+B: What was the announcement like?
BERTOLINI:
I went down to our largest call service center in Jacksonville, Fla., to announce it on January 12. We had to get a hotel ballroom to fit everyone in. Everybody was wondering why I was there. “He’s retiring.” “The company’s been sold.”

Very few people knew in advance. I had given the Wall Street Journal an exclusive interview the week before but embargoed the story until that evening. I wanted the employees to hear about it from me directly. We had also given our top 300 managers a heads-up the day before; we got them on the phone. They said things like “This is the proudest moment I’ve had in 42 years at the company.”

Then I made the announcement, and the place exploded. I had known people would be happy, but I wasn’t ready for the raw emotion. There were people crying. People saying, “Praise the Lord. My prayers have been answered.” The frontline managers were thrilled.

S+B: Were there negative reactions?
BERTOLINI:
Some employees said, “Wait a minute. I worked six years to get to $16 per hour and here you are handing it to them. What are you going to do for me?” It was disappointing to hear this.

S+B: How did you deal with cultural resistance?
BERTOLINI:
I kept control of [the initiative]. I brought the senior team into it because everyone would have to implement it, but I stayed closely involved myself.

S+B: What was the reaction from the shareholders?
BERTOLINI:
They’ve been largely supportive, with many going out of their way to ask about the move and voice their approval. Many of those who were concerned about the potential financial impact quickly became supportive when they came to understand the total magnitude of the enterprise impact, versus the benefits in employee satisfaction and retention.

Of course, all along I’ve been trying to move our shareholder base to long-term investors who will be more supportive of the changes we need to make to succeed in the new healthcare environment.

As Clayton Christensen points out, the shareholder formula in most companies is much too tightly connected to earnings per share. And you know what? Shareholders do not directly benefit from earnings per share increases. They get the difference in the value they bought at versus the value they sell at. What drives that stock price? It’s Wall Street’s belief about whether we have a sustainable product that our customers consistently buy. This is reflected in the P/E ratio.

Aetna’s earnings per share have grown at 15.5 percent for the last five years. But our total shareholder return grew 207 percent [during the same period]. What changed? The P/E. The magic question is: Are your business fundamentals sound enough that you can consistently deliver a product that customers will continue to buy over time? If people believe our business fundamentals are sustainable, it will move the stock price higher. This should be the way we think about it.

S+B: Not many company leaders have that kind of confidence.
BERTOLINI:
In the summer of 2009, we missed our plan by $450 million. I was president. I asked [CEO] Ron Williams, “Why haven’t you put a bullet in me?”

He said there were three reasons. “One, you’re running the place, and I can’t get rid of you. Two, you’ve hopped on the problem, and the plans look great. And three, nobody’s ever going to really be successful as a Fortune 100 CEO until he or she faces one of these crises and actually fixes it. So, finish it up and you’ll be the next CEO.”

You always have the opportunity to lead, no matter what your title. I never let the lack of a title get in my way; when I found a leadership vacuum, I’d jump in. When I talk to my direct reports and they say they don’t have the authority to do something, I say, “Here’s a secret: Do it anyway.” They’ll say, “Well, that’s not my job.” I say, “Yeah, it is.”

“I never let the lack of a title get in my way; when I found a leadership vacuum, I’d jump in.”

Culture and Behavior

S+B: You’re the third CEO in a row trying to create a culture of productivity and accountability at Aetna. How do you see those efforts?
BERTOLINI:
I don’t think you can create a culture. A culture emerges and evolves slowly over time. It’s a bit like a Petri dish. You hope the conditions are good for the right culture to grow. You try to get as much help as possible from the current cultural situation. Fortunately, it is seldom all good or all bad. At the end of the day, my biggest challenge has been to show the organization that it is necessary to take something apart while it’s successful, in order to make it even better. That is one of the theories of creative destruction.

S+B: What’s an example of the behaviors you’re trying to change?
BERTOLINI:
A lot of it has to do with improving accountability. This is a real issue when shifting from a command-and-control organization to an organization where people make important decisions at all levels. But you cannot change that all at once, so you work on a few key behaviors at a time.

One example is the way we manage meetings. In 2008, I added up the number of days I had to spend in major internal meetings. It was 180 out of about 200. We had a staff of 250 people who did nothing but put PowerPoints together for such meetings. So we set a goal of 70 percent less paper, 10 percent fewer meetings, and 50 percent fewer people attending. You should attend only meetings where you’re needed to make a decision, not to learn about [the topics].

“We set a goal of 70 percent less paper, 10 percent fewer meetings, and 50 percent fewer people attending.”

At first, people were upset: “Why am I no longer invited?”

“Well, you were grousing about having to sit in the back row doing emails. Go see a customer instead.”

We just had our monthly results meeting; there were 15 people in the room. Prior to this change, it would have been 80.

S+B: How do these changes affect customers?
BERTOLINI:
The healthcare industry is going through yet another major change. It will be a retail business before too long. By 2020, more than 75 million people will be purchasing insurance directly. That’s why Aetna became one of the largest players in Affordable Care Act exchanges — a move that surprised everybody. Those markets are blossoming for us, because people really want safety. They’re not saying, “I can’t wait to get insurance so I can run off to the doctor and spend somebody else’s money.” They’re solid working people trying to take care of their families. I want us to really care about those people.

When I was growing up, my dad worked as a pattern maker in the auto industry. Since the models changed every five years, he only worked six months every year. My mother was a nurse in a pediatrician’s office. That’s how we got our healthcare paid for. Our market is families like that.

The Affordable Care Act will commoditize this industry. That gives companies two options. They can put their thumb in their mouth, cut their costs, and hope they’re the last company standing. Or they can focus on the two or three parts of the business that have the most value, let the rest disappear, and repurpose their businesses accordingly.

We chose the second option — to focus on a critical few elements. So what could we leverage? Where do we have an emotional as well as a rational advantage? One was our reputation with healthcare providers, including hospitals. They think highly of us, and they all want to get in the insurance business, so why don’t we create a franchise kit for them? We built Healthagen [a line of health management, information technology, and related services for healthcare providers]. When we started working on it in 2005, we called it “Health Plan in a Box.”

We also built a clinical capacity exchange called WellMatch, which lets us resell excess capacity in the healthcare system — services like imaging, lab tests, office visits, and flu shots. And we’re making investments in new technologies, like iTriage [a health literacy and self-care app] and Medicity [which has a network of more than 1,000 hospitals, 270,000 healthcare professionals, and 20 regional and statewide health information exchanges connected to it]. Those two acquisitions were not on the market. We went and talked to them and bought them, and they’ve been very successful. But neither acquisition would have been made with a purely financial or data-driven rationale. We did them because we believed in them.

To make this work, we need to be willing to share our intellectual property and our technology. We can even let providers use it for free. If Healthagen technology helps people buy healthcare more intelligently, or gets them to the right doctor, or stops them from having to go to the emergency room, that helps our customers and it helps our business. Aetna’s medical costs in 2014 were over $40 billion. If we can reduce the annual rate of increase in medical costs by 50 basis points, that’s over $200 million of potential incremental underwriting margin.

We have begun to build accountable care organizations (ACOs) for providers. We are helping them evolve from a revenue-based model to margin-based insurance. We hired executive vice president Dijuana Lewis from Walmart, where she ran the healthcare vertical, to create a retail business for these organizations. The other two major parts of the enterprise are Healthagen, the provider-facing business, run by senior executive vice president Joe Zubretsky; and the core institutional business, run by president Karen Rohan, effective January 2015. From the combination of these three units, we are building, in essence, a fundamentally different value proposition in the marketplace; it is a population health model, in which providers get rewarded for keeping people well. Eventually, instead of primarily being a health insurance company, we’ll be like “Intel Inside,” providing the common infrastructure.

A Next-Generation Payor

S+B: What do you need to do to go down that road?
BERTOLINI:
First and foremost, we have to make provider relationships work over the long term. For employers to give up their ability to put health benefits directly in employees’ hands, they have to believe that the costs will be sustainable and affordable over time.

The best shot is to get providers engaged in population health. We will need to work with them in a variety of ways: fee-for-service systems, clinical efficiency, avoiding readmissions, and supply chain efficiency. Buying coalitions to lower the prices of drugs, stents, and wheelchairs. Giving them access to capital markets, debt and equity, to build their capacity to meet the needs of the full community. We want to make it easy for them to do the right thing for their customers.

I use Tesla as an analogy. Elon Musk has a car that runs purely on electricity, but it’s constrained by a lithium ion battery that represents 65 percent of the cost, and the car costs $85,000. So he builds a factory to reinvent the battery. If he can get to a $35,000 electric car and if free charging is everywhere, he can turn the energy and automotive industries upside down. Similarly, the healthcare provider system represents 85 percent of our cost. Unless we reinvent that system, we can’t begin to make it a retail proposition.

S+B: What does this change mean for the people of the company?
BERTOLINI:
There are three kinds of people at Aetna. There are people who want to operate under the old model, and they probably have five or 10 years left before that model is obsolete. But they are generating the capital that will fund the transition.

A second group is focused on the new stuff. Many of them work at Healthagen, whose offices are in Salt Lake City, Silicon Valley, and Denver. They largely came out of venture capital and private equity. When I go see them, it feels very natural to wear jeans and Birkenstocks or cowboy boots. It’s a completely different style of enterprise and cultural situation.

The third group is people who are involved in the old businesses, and who need help making the transition to the new world. The new model will need a lean operating infrastructure, so we will need to prepare for that. But we’ll also need new kinds of roles. For example, we’ll need to find roles for people in case management, marketing, and other fields where we haven’t needed many people before. Our budget in 2018 for consumer advertising might be 10 times what it is today.

S+B: Does everybody at the company understand the need for change?
BERTOLINI:
We’re talking about a lot of change. Some people have been with the company for a long time, and their attitude is: “What are you doing?”

At a leaders’ meeting, one manager said, “Mark, why are we making such significant change? The company has had record earnings, revenue, membership, and stock price.”

I was really surprised by that. I said, “Then all this talk about what’s going on in the marketplace, you believe all of that’s just fake?”

We had just done an employee engagement survey and the lowest scores were from people like those in the room, two levels below me. As you look at the survey results down through the organization, the scores rose again, and the frontline employees were among the most engaged. So I said, “45 percent of the people in this room really don’t want to be here. So why are you here? Why are you wasting your time and mine?”

The dialogue for the next hour was amazing. People talked about how hard it was to change, how they just wanted to do their jobs. At the end, I said, “I really appreciate everyone’s honesty. But I’m not going away. This is going to happen. Look to your left and right and decide. If you want to be here, we want you.”

S+B: How do you find and cultivate the people who are enthusiastic about change?
BERTOLINI:
I’m working now with the top 300 people, looking for a group of about 120 who can be informal leaders — people whose influence does not just depend on their position in the hierarchy. That will probably get honed down to a smaller group. Eventually I would like to have a kitchen cabinet of people who are authentic informal leaders drawn from all layers of the company.

I’m also continuing to use social media. I actually write my own tweets [he’s @mtbert]. My most widely recognized exchange on social media was with @PoopStrong [the Twitter handle and website of Arijit Guha, a graduate student at Arizona State University who was diagnosed with stage IV colon cancer, and began fundraising online when the costs of his care exceeded the benefits limit on his Aetna policy — Bertolini intervened directly in his case]. Sadly, Mr. Guha passed away, but we solved the benefits problem, and that was important to a lot of people, inside and outside the organization.

Most people think it’s hard to find the time to manage social media. But people talk to one another. I don’t even need to interject. I just watch it go on. I know I’m going to get attacked at times; people will say unfair things about me. But I think it’s much more efficient than email. I have 7,000 emails in my inbox, and I respond to virtually none of them. But with internal social media, we can create real teams. Eventually I’d like to replace email altogether with social media.

S+B: You have another project called “reinventing capitalism.” What’s involved in that?
BERTOLINI:
I am connected with a group of chief executives at Harvard’s Center for Higher Ambition Leadership. [Harvard professor emeritus] Michael Beer wrote a book about it. We started five years ago with five CEOs, and there are now 40 of us. We’re talking about how we can combine social and financial value — and what we need in the way of metrics to create better companies.

At our last meeting, in January 2015, I talked about this wage initiative. There are now 30 other CEOs who want to do something similar. Some of them have started, and it’s already clear they have the same hurdles to overcome. Even in companies where they talk about values and culture all the time, when asked what the lowest-paid group in their workforce looks like, [the staff will] tell you they don’t know and they don’t have the data. You have to learn to persevere with or without data. That’s how you have impact.

AUTHOR PROFILES:

  • Jon R. Katzenbach is a senior executive advisor with Strategy& based in New York, and co-leads the Katzenbach Center’s cultural initiatives.
  • Gretchen Anderson is a principal with Strategy& and a director of the Katzenbach Center.
  • Art Kleiner is editor-in-chief of strategy+business.

 

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The Life Insurance Model kick starts in the US

Photo

Michael Doughty, president of John Hancock Insurance, stretches in Boston. Hancock will offer a program that tracks policyholders’ medical data and offers discounts for healthful behavior. CreditCharlie Mahoney for The New York Times

Andrew Thomas’s life insurer knows exactly when he arrives at his local gym. The company is notified when he swipes his membership card, and 30 minutes later, it checks that he is still there, tracking his location through his smartphone.

The insurance company has a vested interest in keeping Mr. Thomas alive and well. In return for sharing his exercise habits, his cholesterol level and other medical information, Mr. Thomas, a 51-year-old medical publisher who lives in Johannesburg, earns points, which translate into premium savings and other perks. By staying in good shape, it is less likely that Discovery, his insurer, will have to pay out his life and disability policies.

“Every Saturday morning, just for playing golf, I get points,” said Mr. Thomas, who said he received about 9 percent back on his life insurance premiums for each of the last five years. “It is trying to make people live a health y lifestyle.”

Now John Hancock will become the first life insurance company to introduce a similar program for American consumers. The program, being announced Wednesday, will apply to both term and universal life insurance policies and is being operated through a partnership with Vitality, a global wellness company that already works with employers and health insurers in the United States.

The concept — which has been used in South Africa, where Vitality is based, Europe, Singapore and Australia — has the potential to transform the way life insurance is priced, at least for consumers who are willing to continually share their health data. But it also raises questions about how that information will be protected — and whether it could be used in ways that ultimately work against a consumer’s best interests.

People who sign up will receive a free Fitbit monitor, which can be set to automatically upload activity levels to the insurer. The most active customers may earn a discount of up to 15 percent on their premiums, in addition to Amazon gift cards, half-price stays at Hyatt hotels and other perks.

John Hancock, a division of Canadian insurer Manulife Financial, says it hopes the program will help reinvigorate life insurance sales, which have stagnated industrywide for decades. Just 44 percent of households in the United States own individual policies, according to Limra, a trade group, a 50-year low. Any product that reminds consumers of their mortality is hard to get excited about, but industry analysts said that financially strained households, changing demographics and increasingly complex and expensive products have led to the decline in sales.

“It has been a slow to no-growth industry for a long time,” said Michael Doughty, president of John Hancock Insurance, based in Boston. “It is crying out for innovation and for someone to try to reinvent the product to make it more relevant.”

The new program also upends the traditional approach to life insurance underwriting, which typically bases its pricing on a detailed but static snapshot of a person’s medical status. Now, John Hancock’s term and universal policies will be priced continuously, at least for consumers who choose the Vitality program.

John Hancock and Vitality, which is owned by Discovery, said the information would not be sold and would be shared only with entities that help with the program’s administration, though the aggregate data could be used to inform the development of new insurance products.

Nonetheless, some specialists expressed privacy concerns.

“All of a sudden, everything you do and everything you eat, depending on which bits of the information they collect, is sitting in someone’s database,” said Anna Slomovic, lead research scientist at the Cyber Security Policy andResearch Institute at George Washington University and a former chief privacy officer at Equifax and Revolution Health.

Of course, buying any life insurance policy requires customers to share detailed medical histories upfront. But consumers participating in the Vitality program must be comfortable providing enough information continuously to meet certain thresholds that will convert into worthwhile savings. That might include the frequency of workouts, reporting a physical exam or answering sensitive personal questions: During the last 30 days, how often did you feel so nervous that nothing could calm you down? Hopeless? Depressed?

“You do not have to send us any data you are not comfortable with,” Mr. Doughty said. “The trade-off is you won’t get points for that.”

Participants need to amass 3,500 points to achieve silver status, 7,000 to reach gold and 10,000 for platinum. Nonsmokers automatically earn 1,000 points, and people with in-range cholesterol, glucose and blood pressurewill receive 1,000 points for each. A “verified” standard workout three times a week, or an advanced workout twice a week, provides another 3,120 points over the course of a year. Flu shots, 400 points. The clock is reset each year, though 10 percent of points may carry over.

All customers participating in the program will start by paying a premium priced at the gold level. That is a discount of about 9 percent for a 45-year-old man who bought a $500,000 term insurance policy that covered a 20-year period: He would pay $750 annually, compared with the $825 it would cost outside of the Vitality program.

So what if he does everything right, but breaks his leg? Or worse, gets a serious disease like cancer? While those conditions would not directly affect his rate, if he could not maintain gold status for any reason, he could see premium increases of 1.1 to 1.6 percent each year. But if he reached platinum status, his premiums would fall by about 0.30 percent each year.

The program may attract healthier people who have already engaged in these activities on their own. The strategy also tries to tap into the way humans are naturally wired: There is generally no immediate tangible benefit to life insurance, but this program is structured to try to change that.

“People respond far more to immediate gratification than delayed gratification,” said Dr. Kevin Volpp, director of the Center for Health Incentives and Behavioral Economics at the Leonard Davis Institute. (He has performed research sponsored by Vitality.)

The number of points assigned to a particular activity is determined by how it will influence a person’s longevity, based on Vitality’s internal findings — and its level of difficulty. “Stopping smoking is more valuable than one session of activity,” explained Alan Pollard, chief executive of Vitality. “If something is a complex behavioral change, it will attract more points.”

Vitality’s research has found that Americans are generally five years older than their actual age, after taking into account various health and wellness factors. All participating policyholders will be given a “Vitality age,” which will help the program set personal guideposts.

“The people who have the time to devote to jumping through all the hoops are likely to be better off than average, and those healthy enough to do wellness activities may be unrepresentative of the chronically ill,” saidFrank Pasquale, a professor at University of Maryland Carey School of Law. “I believe that is one reason why there is empirical research severely questioning the value of wellness programs.”

John Hancock, which operates in all 50 states, said the universal life program had been approved by insurance regulators in 30 states, while the term program is available in 20 states; more states are expected to be announced throughout the year. It said no regulators had declined to approve it yet.

“It changes the paradigm of life insurance,” Dr. Volpp said. “In some sense, it tries to change your insurance into less of a passive vehicle that pays the bills if something happens, into a more active vehicle to get people to lower their risk.”

Meeting with Amy Costello and Jo Porter at University of New Hampshire

Great meeting with Amy Costello and Jo Porter.

This team have led the charge on freeing data to improve trasparency and accountability in the US health system.

Academic but with a strong, pragmatic approach.

Main obstacle to progress has been clinician objection and payer ambivalence/resistance despite mandates to release data.

From: Porter, Josephine [mailto:jo.porter@unh.edu]
Sent: Saturday, 18 April 2015 8:31 PM
To: Paul Nicolarakis; Costello, Amy
Subject: RE: thank you

Hi Paul,

It was great to meet you, and spend time discussing all of the ways we all can make a difference with data…around the globe!

Here is the link to the accountable care site: www.nhaccountablecare.org. Click “Access Public Reports”. It’s all descriptive stuff, but it’s really where the health systems are right now.

The APCD Development Manual can be found here: http://apcdcouncil.org/all-payer-claims-database-development-manual.

And here is the article that describes the impact of the NH HealthCost (www.nhhealthcost.org) site and how the transparency impacted the Exeter Hospital-Anthem negotiations: http://www.chcf.org/~/media/MEDIA%20LIBRARY%20Files/PDF/M/PDF%20MovingMarketsNewHampshire.pdf

Also – do you know the work of Dr. Neal Shah (http://www.costsofcare.org/)? He has a vision to include costs into the clinical decision-making at the point of care. He is in Boston, and I would be happy to provide an introduction, if you think it would be helpful.

Thanks for making the trip to NH. Let’s chat again soon!

Jo

From: Paul Nicolarakis [mailto:paul.nicolarakis@loricahealth.com]
Sent: Friday, April 17, 2015 10:08 PM
To: Costello, Amy; Porter, Josephine
Subject: thank you

Dear Amy and Jo,

Thanks so much for your time, hospitality and apparel today. It was terrific to hear about your pioneering and hard fought journey to make a real difference with health data…. truly inspiring stuff, albeit with plenty more fights to come. Am looking forward to staying in touch and comparing notes as we seek to bring on the global healthcare reckoning.

Cheers, Paul

 

P.S. Jo – can you send through that accountablecare.org link, and the state development manual? The NPR story on cost of care impacts was excellent.

P.P.S .You can find out more about Australia’s Classification of Hospital Acquired Diagnoses system here.

P.P.P.S. I listened to the NPR story Jo mentioned, and also heard these two terrific Freankonomics episodes also about general healthcare mayhem on the drive back to Boston – suspect you may also enjoy them too

How Do We Know What Really Works in Healthcare?

How Many Doctors Does It Take to Start a Healthcare Revolution?

Harvard Business School/Harvard Medical School – Healthcare Innovation

 

Peter Orzack (citi) on the economics and financing of health. Gave interesting insights into potential unintended consequences of transparency (aside from reduced variation), could get collusion.

Drugs and devices require RCT level evidence to be enacted, but health financing policy can be done from the hip.

Risk adjustment will be improved by clinical (EMR) level data. At present, claims-based risk adjustment can predict only 10% of future spending whereas clinical data + SES data can predict 40%

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Note “Micro Kale” on the menu:WP_20150415_013

Mark T. Bertolini, CEO of Aetna, presenting one of the most powerful speeches on health care reform and renewal of corporate america I’ve every heard.

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WP_20150415_015Also had an extended conversation over dinner with Ceci Connolly (MD, PWC Health) spoke with Halle Tecco (CEO, Rock Health) and Luc Sirois (Hacking Health, coming to HISA’s HIC 2015), Dr Paul Tang (Paolo Alto Medical Foundation) and Kaiser Permanente (polypill work).

 

 

 

 

Meeting: Dr Shantanu Agarwal, CMS

Met with Dr Shantanu Agarwal, Deputy Administrator and Director, Center for Program Integrity

Excellent discussion comparing notes on system integrity in Australia and US.

CMS overall pays $1 trillion in program payments annually.

Point estimate is that 12% are improper payments – $48-52B per year.

The observation was made that FFS schedules like MBS were more than administrative tools, but effectively were clinical guidelines given the powerful incentives that they provide for particular treatments.

Analytic methods have been set and maturing for the last 5 years.

Most challenging element is how to close loop on anomalous behaviour:

  • Start with on-boarding/educating newly enrolled clinicians (prevention) using videos, literature, data, feedback.
  • Engagement with providers needs to be longitudinal, long term, personal, especially around low value care.
  • You need a credible (peer matched) messenger and data needs to be properly presented and matched.

This Health Affairs article describes a typical journey for a system Shantanu used to work for – ChenMed in Miami.

Discussed:

  • Fraud > Abuse > Waste > Error continuum
  • The agile human adversary
  • Chasing value slide
  • Gamma scoring methodologies
  • Choosing wisely > disinvestment
  • Surgeon dashboard
  • Surgeon selector

Shantanu mentioned that http://www.healthcostinstitute.org/ were seeking to build out similar statistical presentations to our own, but had so far only developed cost-oriented metrix with no dimension for quality/experience etc.

Other references for the meeting:

Reducing Medicare and Medicaid Fraud and Abuse – interview

Statement to Committee on Energy and Commerce
Subcommittee on Oversight & Investigations
United States House of Representatives  on Medicare Program Integrity: Screening Out Errors, Fraud and Abuse

Powerpoint: 764496_slide_CMS_DrShantanuAgrawal

 

cms

Meeting: Adam Pelavin, Comprisma

Meeting with Adam Pelavin, Comprisma in the foyer of the Westin Hotel, Georgetown.

Adam is pure mathematician, sci-fi fantasy writer and is know to, and associated with Esther Dyson.

Comprisma was a self-funded health insurance regulation startup associated with the affordable care act whereby insurers were no longer able to make more than 20% margin (i.e. medical loss ratio > 80%) on their books. This unintentionally created a market for high cost members and an opportunity to pool and trade their risk to insurers operating with more than 20% margin, thereby making them conformant with the new policy – in effect, a cap and trade system for health insurance risk. This required fancy mathematics associated with combinatorial optimisation (software used was called CPLEX).

A very interesting insight that Adam shared with me was the need for the business to build out short- and long-term yield curves so as to bridge the cashflow gap that existed between the short and long-term incentives. i.e. start off with getting rid of low value care which would generate more immediate returns, but then top up with more strategic prevention based interventions associated with longer term revenues.

It was also important that the populations being considered were of a manageable size such that community focused interventions could be attributed to desired outcomes. In an interesting way, this means that remote Australian communities could present ideal opportunities for this idea to be deployed to.

Adam also referenced Jeremy Store (UK/US) who is looking at bundling wound care with social impact bonds.

Adam also mentioned Mikey Dickerson, US Digital Services Administrator and the guy who fixed healthcare.gov when it broke in 2014.

Key questions from Adam to me:
1. How much is a life-year worth to life insurers?
2. What kind of interventions are they interested in?

Follow up email:

Hi Paul,

It was a pleasure meeting you as well! It’s a rare pleasure to meet someone else who’s really trying to shift the financial incentives surrounding health. I’m fascinated by your life insurance approach; I’d love to learn more at some point about what life insurers’ incentives look like (i.e. how much a life-year is worth to them), what kind of interventions they might be interested in, etc.–and just to know how your thinking evolves. Please do keep in touch!

Best,

Adam

On Tue, Apr 14, 2015 at 9:34 AM, Paul Nicolarakis <paul.nicolarakis@loricahealth.com> wrote:
Hi Adam,
Thank you for meeting up yesterday. It was great to connect a bunch of dots, but also learn of your literary ambitions.
The story of Comprisma was very informative to the focus of my fellowship and I look forward to remaining in touch as the journey continues.
In particular, I found the discussion regarding the financing of healthcare (and/or prevention) for defined communities interesting as it relates to care provided to remote communities in Australia.
I am hoping to meet with Esther in two weeks and will be sure to reference our conversation at the time.
All the best for the novel and I look forward to remaining in touch on the health financial side.
Regards, Paul

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Meeting with Lynn Etheridge – Rapid Learning Health Systems

Met with Lynn over lunch at RIS (tomato cream soup, salmon) on the back of his with with Robert Wood Johnson Foundation on the establishment of a rapid learning health system.

US Secretary of Health Burwell is moving payments to:

  • 35% alternate (non-FFS) payments
  • 80% of FFS will now be performance based
  • $10B innovation center

There are financiers looking to establish markets for healthcare futures

US is establishing a clinical research system that links NIH, FDA and POCARI databases covering 50 million patients.

Lee Hood at University of Washington is driving ideas around zero stage disease and prediction >> feeding into P4 Medicine Group

Flatiron Health are building a unified cancer EMR

End goal is to have 100% of patients involved in a clinical trial – this is the essence of a rapid learning health system

Meeting at National Health Care Anti-Fraud Association

Met with Lou Saccoccio (CEO) and Erin Carlson (Snr Director, Education and Training).

Excellent discussion regarding approaches taken to collaboration and partnership against fraud in US health care.

NHCAA are a small (12 FTEs) government and industry funded group (85 members) established in 1985 that supports a range of collaborative and educational programs including certification of fraud investigators – Accredited Health Care Fraud Investigator (AHFI) and Annual Training Conference.

Bupa are involved, mostly out of UK but also Australia (Michael Douman).

Ray Collins is very active in the space.

  • SIRIS is an information sharing/case management data base hosted by LexisNexis – contract regarding use to be forwarded. Sharing this information is legal provided it is performed according to strict guidelines and relates specifically to fraud investigation. It cannot be a fishing exercise. Cases must be built on own information, but having the database allows investigators to follow up with other investigators looking at a specific concern.
  • A number of firms provide a recoveries service offering – Verisk, Emdeon, LexisNexis – the standard charge is 30% commission on recoveries made.
  • Case discussion roundtable meetings support information sharing around specific cases.
  • Discussed the 7:1 ROI enjoyed by federal programs – much of this is returned by cases focused on recovering monies from “Pharmaceutical Off-label Marketing Fraud” and “Pharmaceutical Best Pricing Fraud” which then boosts overall figures.
  • Other approaches include cross-matching for recently deceased providers (phantom providers) who continue to bill. When this practice becomes endemic in a region, moratoria are established that prevent new providers being registered in that region.
  • Also look at “high cost pharmacies”, perform site visits and follow up on outliers on risk scoring.
  • MITRE Corporation (originally a military technology R&D organisation akin to RAND) are now collaborating with CMS in a program called CMS Alliance to Modernize Healthcare. Thier operating model involves partnership with government agencies on a sole source basis. IP can be captured by MITRE and then commercialised as required.
  • All Claims Pooling is another approach using trusted third parties – Verisk, Emdeon and LexisNexis.
  • Federally-granted Recovery Audit Contracts see third parties (e.g. Performant) chase potential recoveries from providers – not appreciated by providers.
  • Palantir had previously engaged with NHCAA but had since withdrawn. They have a contract with Aetna, but no one else in health was mentioned. Government entities tended to work solely with MITRE.
  • NHCAA saw much opportunity to extend scope from fraud to low value care – clinical special investigation units are involved in this work, typically headed by MDs and they meet at the annual conference.
  • Suggested engaging with CMS Head Dr Shantanu Agrawal who I am meeting on Wednesday.

Actions

  • Erin: refer me to Allanna Lovell at MITRE for a meeting
  • Erin: invite to anti-fraud conference in November
  • Erin: share guidelines for intelligence sharing

Linked and  attached are presentations by Shantanu Agrawal  and his staff on the CMS (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services) scoring system they are using, as well as their latest anti-fraud initiatives.

 

Meeting with Steve Shihadeh, VP Sales at Caradigm

Met with Steve Shihadeh.

Was taken for a personal tour and lunch at the simply extraordinary Barnes Foundation gallery where Steve and his wife are members.

Discussed how population health management was the big buzz at this year’s HIMSS Conference in Chicago and that Caradigm was right in the middle of this buzz.

Steve would endeavour to connect me up with people in Caradigm HQ in Bellevue.

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